Ignore the Big Tech Valuation Premium—This Under-the-Radar AI Leader Is a Cash-Rich Sanctuary for Retirees

1 hour ago 1

Alex Sirois

Mon, June 29, 2026 astatine 9:13 AM CDT 3 min read

Quick Read

IBM has raised its dividend for 31 consecutive years, with a 54% FCF payout ratio signaling the $6.76 yearly outgo is well-protected.
Arvind Krishna guided IBM toward $15.7 cardinal successful 2026 FCF against a $6.3 cardinal dividend obligation, leaving important country for continued increases.
IBM carries $61.3 cardinal successful indebtedness astatine 2.8x EBITDA, but 6.3x involvement sum keeps dividend work from becoming a threat.
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IBM (NYSE:IBM) has softly go a cash-generating inferior for firm AI orchestration, sitting connected a $255.3 cardinal marketplace headdress with a $12.5 cardinal generative AI publication of business. For income investors who disregard endeavor tech arsenic excessively volatile for a status portfolio, the question is simple. Is the dividend safe?

A blessed Black mates sits astatine a woody array successful a brightly lit room. The pistillate connected the left, wearing a yellowish shirt, smiles portion penning successful a notebook. The antheral connected the right, successful an orangish collared shirt, holds fiscal documents and looks astatine the woman. A laptop and glasses are besides connected the table.

Dividend Snapshot

Payout Ratios Leave Real Room to Breathe

In 2025, IBM paid $6.255 cardinal successful communal dividends against $11.575 cardinal of escaped currency flow. That is simply a comfy FCF payout ratio of 54%. Earnings per stock came successful astatine $11.59 against astir $6.72 successful dividends, truthful astir 58% of profits funded the payout.

FCF sum has held betwixt 1.44x and 1.91x for 5 consecutive years. That is the benignant of consistency a retiree wants.

Debt Is the One Wrinkle Worth Watching

Total indebtedness sits astatine $61.3 billion, up astir $6.3 cardinal aft the Confluent deal. EBIT of $12.26 cardinal covers $1.94 cardinal successful involvement 6.3 times. Service costs are not crowding retired the dividend.

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31 Years of Increases, Slow but Steady

Growth is slow, adjacent 1% annually recently, but uninterrupted. IBM has paid quarterly dividends each twelvemonth since 1916.

Krishna Backs Up the Cash Story

CEO Arvind Krishna told investors connected the Q1 2026 call: "Given this beardown start, we proceed to expect much than 5 percent changeless currency gross maturation and an summation of astir $1 cardinal successful year-over-year escaped currency travel successful 2026." Guiding to astir $15.7 cardinal of FCF against a $6.3 cardinal dividend work gives absorption plentifulness of room.

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